Daily comprehensive market and economic trends through clear and compelling charts.
Start the week off right with this one-page snapshot of headlines and market performance.
EM should continue to provide a substantial economic growth alpha relative to developed markets due to better demographics and a productivity catch-up.
For investors peering into 2020, it is likely that U.S. monetary policy will remain on hold for the time being.
We emerged with a cautious near-term view from our latest quarterly strategy meeting in early September. In our base case scenario, the global economy is expected to narrowly avoid recession and continue to grow, albeit much more slowly.
This paper examines the U.S. commercial mortgage loan (CML) market and U.S. insurers’ investments in CMLs.
In this paper, we assess the potential risks associated with such a strategy by stressing capital requirements using spread-implied ratings.
This weekly update provides a snapshot of changes in the economy and markets and their implications for investors.
Our 2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions (LTCMAs) present our forecasts for economic growth, inflation and asset returns over the next 10 to 15 years.