Managing illiquidity risk across public and private markets
As China proceeds along its path of financial system liberalization, and investors have access to a greater array of opportunities, selection will be more important than ever.
Michael Cembalest discusses the aches and pains constraining growth around the world, the severity of these ailments, and the degree of contagion from emerging to developed economies.
In this Eye on the Market, Michael provides an update on the credit risk of US states based on their unfunded pension and retiree healthcare obligations.
Developed market governments aren’t tackling high public debt levels, dating back to the global financial crisis. Will high debt to GDP lead to political pressure on central banks to keep rates low?
Is your portfolio fit to clear late-cycle hurdles? We consider plausible recession scenarios and how they might challenge different types of investors to survive the short term so they can thrive in the long term.
New technology could boost productivity and, in turn, economic growth, but relatively full equity valuations and low bond yields pose cyclical challenges.
Recessions are milder and less frequent, while recoveries are weaker. The business cycle has not been eliminated, but perhaps it has been tamed.