As China proceeds along its path of financial system liberalization, and investors have access to a greater array of opportunities, selection will be more important than ever.
Michael Cembalest discusses the aches and pains constraining growth around the world, the severity of these ailments, and the degree of contagion from emerging to developed economies.
Developed market governments aren’t tackling high public debt levels, dating back to the global financial crisis. Will high debt to GDP lead to political pressure on central banks to keep rates low?
A broad overview of our 2019 assumptions
New technology could boost productivity and, in turn, economic growth, but relatively full equity valuations and low bond yields pose cyclical challenges.
Recessions are milder and less frequent, while recoveries are weaker. The business cycle has not been eliminated, but perhaps it has been tamed.
Automation and artificial intelligence (AI) can boost productivity and long-term economic growth, but fears of joblessness are a real concern.
One of the mysteries of American economics is the emphasis on a “strong dollar.” Today’s overvalued-dollar has kept inflation too low and, for years, hurt U.S. manufacturing.