This greater economic stability should bolster international earnings expectations, halting the decline seen over the past 18 months.
Global trade tensions may continue into 2020, weighing on global growth and acting as a headwind for further equity market gains.
Last year, buybacks were all the rage; this year, the pace of share repurchases has slowed, but the pace of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) has accelerated.
We emerged with a cautious near-term view from our latest quarterly strategy meeting in early September. In our base case scenario, the global economy is expected to narrowly avoid recession and continue to grow, albeit much more slowly.
Armageddonists and the portfolio cost of fear, 2010-2019
The economic backdrop in 2019 has been characterized by weakness in manufacturing being offset by the resilience of services and health of the consumer.
A close look at the Progressive Agenda, China’s deteriorating welcome mat in DC and US Tech IPOs.
Michael Cembalest analyzes the performance of over 6,700 domestic and international active equity managers, and discusses the challenges they face outperforming at a time of markets distorted by quantitative easing.
A brief comment on a proposal from leading Presidential candidates to ban hydraulic fracturing everywhere, immediately.
An update from the front lines of the Trade War, with a focus on implications for investors