We emerged with a cautious near-term view from our latest quarterly strategy meeting in early September. In our base case scenario, the global economy is expected to narrowly avoid recession and continue to grow, albeit much more slowly.
This bulletin, written by Dr. David Kelly, examines the impact of weak Chinese markets on the U.S. economy in early 2016.
Armageddonists and the portfolio cost of fear, 2010-2019
What would a Conservative government mean for sterling?
Reaching for yield, which we define as buying bonds with wider spreads after controlling for sector and rating impacts, is a topic that frequently arises in the life insurance industry.
The economic backdrop in 2019 has been characterized by weakness in manufacturing being offset by the resilience of services and health of the consumer.
A close look at the Progressive Agenda, China’s deteriorating welcome mat in DC and US Tech IPOs.
WHILE MOST CORPORATIONS’ 10-K FILINGS WILL NOT BE AVAILABLE UNTIL LATE FEBRUARY, WE ANALYZED PRELIMINARY DATA ON PENSION PLANS THAT HAVE FISCAL YEAR ENDS BETWEEN JUNE 30, 2018 AND OCTOBER 31, 2018.
Michael Cembalest analyzes the performance of over 6,700 domestic and international active equity managers, and discusses the challenges they face outperforming at a time of markets distorted by quantitative easing.
Vincent Juvyns and Alex Dryden discuss economic growth in the eurozone and the potential impacts of the slowdown in China and other emerging markets.