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Assumptions

J.P. Morgan’s Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions provides risk and return expectations, over a 10- to 15-year horizon, for more than 50 asset and strategy classes.

Our LTCMAs are formulated as part of a deeply researched proprietary process that draws on quantitative and qualitative inputs. We begin with macroeconomic and market assumptions and construct the building blocks of our individual asset class projections.  The result: an internally consistent set of assumptions for strategic investment decision-making.

Explore the report by macroeconomic and asset class outlook

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Macroeconomic

A slow-moving, steady slide

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Alternatives

Beta dominates the outlook, but alpha may be bottoming

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Fixed Income

G4 government bonds: A slower and shallower path to normalization

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Currency Exchange Rates

Unwinding the overvalued dollar will take time

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Equity Markets

Modest downgrades, disappointing returns

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Volatility

Moving toward a (slightly) more volatile future

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