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The Weekly Brief

16 September 2019

UK wages grew at the fastest pace since 2008 in July, with the three-month average growth rate for wages including bonuses reaching 4% year on year.

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The macroeconomics of climate risk: How global warming could impact economic growth

27 June 2019

Traditional macroeconomic models run the risk of overstating potential global growth by not adequately accounting for natural resource constraints and climate change.

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How to hedge against a downturn

20 May 2019

This is close to being the longest economic expansion on record. Nobody knows exactly when it will end, so it’s worth considering what investments could rise in value when equities and other risk assets fall during the next downturn.

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As no-deal risk subsides, UK interest rates should move higher

02 May 2019

Today the Bank of England’s (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee met, and decided unanimously to keep interest rates on hold at 0.75%.

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Turning the dial: Portfolio considerations in the late cycle

14 September 2018

Like summers, economic expansions do not last forever. The US recovery is now the second longest on record.

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