As we compiled the 2018 edition of our Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions, the world economy has enjoying its best period of synchronized growth in more than a decade.
In lower cost, liquid vehicles, alternative risk premia strategies can strengthen a risk-return profile.
With global recessionary risks rising, we provide a framework to help UK pensions prepare for near-term risks that could challenge the fulfillment of their sponsor covenants.
In this paper, we assess the potential risks associated with such a strategy by stressing capital requirements using spread-implied ratings.
Using our 2019 Long-Term Capital Markets Assumptions and our estimate of the average current pension profile, we projected forward the buyout position of the average UK pension scheme.
Our view over the past few quarters has been that EURUSD should be rangebound, as the cyclical outperformance of the US economy is offset by the eurozone’s relatively better balance of payments position.
A summary of the factors driving global markets over the last month.