With global recessionary risks rising, we provide a framework to help UK pensions prepare for near-term risks that could challenge the fulfillment of their sponsor covenants.
Using our 2019 Long-Term Capital Markets Assumptions and our estimate of the average current pension profile, we projected forward the buyout position of the average UK pension scheme.
An update from the front lines of the Trade War, with a focus on implications for investors.
Markets, economy, stocks, growth, global, fixed income, international, asset classes
Our view over the past few quarters has been that EURUSD should be rangebound, as the cyclical outperformance of the US economy is offset by the eurozone���s relatively better balance of payments position.
Michael looks at the midterms: GOP gains in the Senate, an historic loss in the House given economic and market conditions, and what it means for investors.
In this year���s Holiday Eye on the Market, Michael records a note to his spouse on her father, the 2020 US Presidential election, and what might be the widest ideological divide in 100 years.
The food fight between the President and the Fed Chair could result in too much easing, and the expansion of valuations beyond sustainable levels. The other food fight: leveraged loan issuers vs buyers. Issuers are winning this fight hands down due.
For the first time in 20 years, markets will have to survive without support from central banks.
Michael discusses how short covering, rather than real money, has driven the fastest recovery on record following a bear market, and looks ahead at slowing earnings growth.