Predicting recessions is not easy and we do not claim to have uncovered a perfect crystal ball. What we have developed is a framework for tracking the risks, and potential magnitude, of a downturn in the US economy.
Bond yields remain at or near historic lows around the world, leading to a substantial increase in the value of pension plan liabilities.
In this year���s Holiday Eye on the Market, Michael records a note to his spouse on her father, the 2020 US Presidential election, and what might be the widest ideological divide in 100 years.
Michael takes a close look at the question of rising committed and unspent capital in private equity, and implications for investors.
Michael looks at the midterms: GOP gains in the Senate, an historic loss in the House given economic and market conditions, and what it means for investors.
Discover the latest reactions from global markets to the US China trade war. Tariff hikes and escalated tensions prove concerning for global expansion.
This quarterly publication from our Pension Solutions and Advisory Group provides UK pension funds with timely updates on market trends, funding levels and the latest industry and product developments.
Using our 2019 Long-Term Capital Markets Assumptions and our estimate of the average current pension profile, we projected forward the buyout position of the average UK pension scheme.
With global recessionary risks rising, we provide a framework to help UK pensions prepare for near-term risks that could challenge the fulfillment of their sponsor covenants.