Optimism about a U.S.-China trade deal, and data releases suggesting recent global industrial weakness may have bottomed, lifted risk assets in November.
The UK population are returning to the polls, in a bid to resolve the Brexit impasse. Abundant uncertainties about the election result argue against significant positioning in sterling assets in either direction.
A slew of fundamental developments over the week suggests the macroeconomic backdrop continues to deteriorate, and yet bond markets are still generating strong returns across not only safe havens but also risk assets. Can this momentum persist into Sept.
Credit markets have enjoyed a strong march upwards, supported by robust technicals and a broadly positive fundamental backdrop. With issuance set to pick up, could now be the time to take some chips off the table?
Given our view that the global economy is just as likely to contract as expand over the next three-to-six months, is it now time to position fixed income portfolios more defensively?
A new trade announcement from the Trump administration has comprehensively overshadowed the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut since the financial crisis. What impact will the most recent round of tariffs have on the economy and on markets?
With inflation stubbornly weak, the European Central Bank (ECB) is now expected to act. What would more monetary stimulus mean for investors?
Trade rhetoric is dominating news flow, weighing on risk assets. What could be the implications for US growth and inflation, and how is the outlook reflected in valuations?
With the European Central Bank (ECB) almost certain to start quantitative easing again, what is the outlook for European credit?
A summary of the factors driving global markets over the last month.