Given our view that the global economy is just as likely to contract as expand over the next three-to-six months, is it now time to position fixed income portfolios more defensively?
A slew of fundamental developments over the week suggests the macroeconomic backdrop continues to deteriorate, and yet bond markets are still generating strong returns across not only safe havens but also risk assets. Can this momentum persist into Sept.
While no deal is not the most likely scenario in our view, the risks are rising. The UK outlook is binary. A Brexit deal could see sterling bounce to 1.40 against the dollar, but no deal on 31 October could see a further slump to 1.10.
Key findings from the Multi-Asset Solutions Strategy Summit
A new trade announcement from the Trump administration has comprehensively overshadowed the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut since the financial crisis. What impact will the most recent round of tariffs have on the economy and on markets?
Credit markets have enjoyed a strong march upwards, supported by robust technicals and a broadly positive fundamental backdrop. With issuance set to pick up, could now be the time to take some chips off the table?
With inflation stubbornly weak, the European Central Bank (ECB) is now expected to act. What would more monetary stimulus mean for investors?
With the European Central Bank (ECB) almost certain to start quantitative easing again, what is the outlook for European credit?
With the European Central Bank (ECB) set to resume quantitative easing, can European high yield spreads return to their lows of the last time around?
Emerging market (EM) central banks are following their developed market peers with easier monetary policy. What are the implications for EM debt?