Switzerland is well known around the world for its high prices, with a Big Mac or a Starbucks latte costing over USD 6 each. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) itself describes the Swiss franc as “highly valued”, but it is less clear to us that the currency is
The outperformance of US stocks relative to European counterparts has been one of the defining characteristics of equity markets in the post-crisis period. This piece highlights how two sectors—technology and financials—have played a key role in driving
Emerging Market Equity Views : Favorable global cycle and USD outlooks create a positive environment
While tariffs remain a concern, the key issue is the degree—which we deem moderate—of U.S. recession risk. The current global backdrop makes the U.S. dollar unlikely to strengthen. Earnings growth expectations are modest, valuations are undemanding
We emerged with a cautious near-term view from our latest quarterly strategy meeting in early September. In our base case scenario, the global economy is expected to narrowly avoid recession and continue to grow, albeit much more slowly.
Predicting recessions is not easy and we do not claim to have uncovered a perfect crystal ball. What we have developed is a framework for tracking the risks, and potential magnitude, of a downturn in the US economy.
The US recovery is now the longest on record. Nobody knows exactly how much longer this expansion will last.
After a volatile December driven by concerns of rising rates, peak economic and earnings growth, and geopolitical tensions, markets have bounced back.
It was another rollercoaster ride for equity markets but this time ending on a high note, with the S&P 500 Index delivering a thrilling 13.6% return in the first quarter, the best start to a year since 1998.
A strategic framework for building a private credit portfolio
Pension Pulse Spring 2019