EMEA Market Insights looks ahead to 2020 and considers what might be in store for global markets.
Themes and implications from the most recent Global Fixed Income, Currency & Commodities Investment Quarterly
Investment grade and high yield credit in emerging markets have delivered divergent performance over the summer. Could this trend reverse, or is investor caution warranted in the high yield space?
The UK population are returning to the polls, in a bid to resolve the Brexit impasse. Abundant uncertainties about the election result argue against significant positioning in sterling assets in either direction.
Discover why US stocks consistently outperform their European counterparts in the post-crisis period with a comparitive look at tech & financial sectors.
Predicting recessions is not easy and we do not claim to have uncovered a perfect crystal ball. What we have developed is a framework for tracking the risks, and potential magnitude, of a downturn in the US economy.
We emerged with a cautious near-term view from our latest quarterly strategy meeting in early September. In our base case scenario, the global economy is expected to narrowly avoid recession and continue to grow, albeit much more slowly.
Recent data releases tentatively point to a recovery in the manufacturing sectors of the major economies.