Themes and implications from the Global Fixed Income, Currency & Commodities Investment Quarterly
The Guide to the Markets is a pioneer as the industry's leading resource for timely information on the market and economy
Our summer 2019 edition looks at UK pension buy and maintain strategies, the globalisation of real estate holdings and the importance of timing when investing in a volatile, late cycle environment.
UK pension plans concerned about how to invest in a volatile, late cycle environment may want to consider two practices: continue effective rebalancing and don���t postpone further duration hedging in anticipation of rising rates.
Predicting recessions is not easy and we do not claim to have uncovered a perfect crystal ball. What we have developed is a framework for tracking the risks, and potential magnitude, of a downturn in the US economy.
Caught our eye: UK pension buy and maintain strategies could bring demand pressure to sterling corporate bonds
In an already tightly held market for sterling corporate bonds, even modest moves by UK pension funds to adopt buy and maintain strategies could create stiff competition for these assets.
While no deal is not the most likely scenario in our view, the risks are rising. The UK outlook is binary. A Brexit deal could see sterling bounce to 1.40 against the dollar, but no deal on 31 October could see a further slump to 1.10.
We expect continued solid returns for emerging market debt (EMD) over the next six to 12 months, driven by healthy fundamentals, a supportive net issuance level and attractive valuations.