US Economy Health Check chart book
Predicting recessions is not easy and we do not claim to have uncovered a perfect crystal ball. What we have developed is a framework for tracking the risks, and potential magnitude, of a downturn in the US economy.
This weekly update provides a snapshot of changes in the economy and markets and their implications for investors.
We emerged with a cautious near-term view from our latest quarterly strategy meeting in early September. In our base case scenario, the global economy is expected to narrowly avoid recession and continue to grow, albeit much more slowly.
Recent data releases tentatively point to a recovery in the manufacturing sectors of the major economies.
Reactions following the October 2017 ECB meeting from the Global Market Insights Strategy team.
This paper discusses the evolution of China’s economic policy after the 19th National Party Congress and how it impacts our view on Chinese equities.
In the third quarter, emerging market (EM) earnings and earnings expectations cycles finally began to turn. Reported profits and margins rebounded off their cyclical lows and earnings estimates moved out of negative territory, diminishing a headwind that
Vincent Juvyns and Alex Dryden discuss economic growth in the eurozone and the potential impacts of the slowdown in China and other emerging markets.
Updated each quarter, the Guide to the Markets illustrates a comprehensive array of market and economic trends and statistics.