US Economy Health Check chart book
Predicting recessions is not easy and we do not claim to have uncovered a perfect crystal ball. What we have developed is a framework for tracking the risks, and potential magnitude, of a downturn in the US economy.
The Bank of England (BoE) held its base rate of interest unchanged at 0.5% at its meeting today.
This weekly update provides a snapshot of changes in the economy and markets and their implications for investors.
As widely anticipated, Emmanuel Macron’s La Republique en Marche party has won an absolute majority in the French National Assembly after the second round of legislative elections on Sunday 18 June.
We emerged with a cautious near-term view from our latest quarterly strategy meeting in early September. In our base case scenario, the global economy is expected to narrowly avoid recession and continue to grow, albeit much more slowly.
Recent data releases tentatively point to a recovery in the manufacturing sectors of the major economies.
Like summers, economic expansions do not last forever. The US recovery is now the second longest on record. There is nothing to suggest it will end in the near future, so the broad prognosis for risk assets remains good. But we know that—like weather fore
1Q18 earnings update: A tailwind from taxes