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We emerged with a cautious near-term view from our latest quarterly strategy meeting in early September. In our base case scenario, the global economy is expected to narrowly avoid recession and continue to grow, albeit much more slowly.
We believe the Brexit negotiations will conclude with a relatively ���soft��� Brexit. But, as current media headlines show, there are still a number of compromises that need to be made on both sides to seal the deal.
The key political, macro and credit risks that insurers may want to address in 2019.
As widely expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) today announced its intention to extend its quantitative easing (QE) programme by nine months at least until September 2018, leaving the door open to a further expansion in size and duration if conditi
In this year���s Holiday Eye on the Market, Michael records a note to his spouse on her father, the 2020 US Presidential election, and what might be the widest ideological divide in 100 years.
A brief note on the latest price action in equity markets, how business cycles end, and how markets are being left to fend for themselves without central bank intervention for the first time in 20 years.