Predicting recessions is not easy and we do not claim to have uncovered a perfect crystal ball. What we have developed is a framework for tracking the risks, and potential magnitude, of a downturn in the US economy.
The Bank of England (BoE) held its base rate of interest unchanged at 0.5% at its meeting today.
Markets, economy, stocks, growth, global, fixed income, international, asset classes
After a relatively quiet summer, volatility spiked in October as investors worried about rising rates, peak economic and earnings growth and geopolitical tensions.
We believe the Brexit negotiations will conclude with a relatively “soft” Brexit. But, as current media headlines show, there are still a number of compromises that need to be made on both sides to seal the deal.
LTCMA 2019 Theme: Smaller cycles in a trend: The growing stability of the global economy.
A summary of the factors driving global markets over the last month.
As widely expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) today announced its intention to extend its quantitative easing (QE) programme by nine months at least until September 2018, leaving the door open to a further expansion in size and duration if conditi