Predicting recessions is not easy and we do not claim to have uncovered a perfect crystal ball. What we have developed is a framework for tracking the risks, and potential magnitude, of a downturn in the US economy.
Markets, economy, stocks, growth, global, fixed income, international, asset classes
The key political, macro and credit risks that insurers may want to address in 2019.
The Fed halted tightening and propelled equities to their fastest recovery ever following a bear market.
For the first time in 20 years, markets will have to survive without support from central banks.
In today���s special issue Eye on the Market, Michael takes a close look at the question of rising committed and unspent capital in private equity, and implications for investors.
A summary of the factors driving global markets over the last month.
In this month���s podcast, Michael looks at the midterms: GOP gains in the Senate, an historic loss in the House given economic and market conditions, and what it means for investors.
A brief note on the latest price action in equity markets, how business cycles end, and how markets are being left to fend for themselves without central bank intervention for the first time in 20 years.