This weekly update provides a snapshot of changes in the economy and markets and their implications for investors.
Recent data from across developed markets has confirmed that underlying inflationary trends remain soft.
We are upgrading our view on equities to reflect early signs of an upturn in macroeconomic data, falling recession risk and an increase in the chance of at least a limited U.S.-China trade deal.
The UK population are returning to the polls, in a bid to resolve the Brexit impasse. Abundant uncertainties about the election result argue against significant positioning in sterling assets in either direction.
Investment grade credit has been a standout performer in 2019. Given the ongoing macro uncertainty and recent spread tightening, can the rally continue?
Predicting recessions is not easy and we do not claim to have uncovered a perfect crystal ball. What we have developed is a framework for tracking the risks, and potential magnitude, of a downturn in the US economy.
The investment landscape is changing as savers and governments place greater scrutiny on environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors. In this piece we highlight the driving forces and discuss the ways in which investors can include ESG factors
We emerged with a cautious near-term view from our latest quarterly strategy meeting in early September. In our base case scenario, the global economy is expected to narrowly avoid recession and continue to grow, albeit much more slowly.
US Economy Health Check chart book
The outperformance of US stocks relative to European counterparts has been one of the defining characteristics of equity markets in the post-crisis period. This piece highlights how two sectors—technology and financials—have played a key role in driving