The Fed halted tightening and propelled equities to their fastest recovery ever following a bear market. This decision was made despite the lowest unemployment rate in 40 years. Does that make sense? Also, a possible deal with China.
Michael discusses how short covering, rather than real money, has driven the fastest recovery on record following a bear market, and looks ahead at slowing earnings growth.
For the first time in 20 years, markets will have to survive without support from central banks.
A brief note on the latest price action in equity markets, how business cycles end, and how markets are being left to fend for themselves without central bank intervention for the first time in 20 years.
In this year’s Holiday Eye on the Market, Michael records a note to his spouse on her father, the 2020 US Presidential election, and what might be the widest ideological divide in 100 years.
Michael looks at the midterms: GOP gains in the Senate, an historic loss in the House given economic and market conditions, and what it means for investors.
Michael takes a close look at the question of rising committed and unspent capital in private equity, and implications for investors.
Eye on the Market: The Verdict
EURUSD should be rangebound
Despite attractive valuations, emerging market equities have underperformed. Things are improving, but a headwind looms: monetary policy