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Following a torrid fourth quarter of last year, equity markets have bounced back strongly across the globe so far in 2019.
The outperformance of US stocks relative to European counterparts has been one of the defining characteristics of equity markets in the post-crisis period. This piece highlights how two sectors—technology and financials—have played a key role in driving
Optimism faded following an agreement in principle for a “phase one” trade deal between the U.S. and China as details of the agreement underwhelmed market participants.
This weekly update provides a snapshot of changes in the economy and markets and their implications for investors.
Emerging market debt is underpinned by a solid fundamental backdrop, but the local index is at all-time tights. A differentiated approach seems warranted.
Implications for insurance capital requirements
While no deal is not the most likely scenario in our view, the risks are rising. The UK outlook is binary. A Brexit deal could see sterling bounce to 1.40 against the dollar, but no deal on 31 October could see a further slump to 1.10.
In this paper, we assess the potential risks associated with such a strategy by stressing capital requirements using spread-implied ratings.