We cut the chances of recession to 25% after a thaw in the trade war and a year of rate cuts; our forecast is for sub trend growth. Favored sectors include emerging market local currency debt and higher rated short-duration securitized credit.
Learn more about J.P. Morgan’s views on fixed income, the economy and markets.
Article discussing how low growth, low yield environments are good for equity income investing.
High-yield portfolios should now combine yield with dividend growth. Cash flow analysis helps determine if dividends are sustainable
This paper examines the U.S. commercial mortgage loan (CML) market and U.S. insurers’ investments in CMLs.
In this paper, we assess the potential risks associated with such a strategy by stressing capital requirements using spread-implied ratings.
Implications for insurance capital requirements
The insurers' moment: Credit lending after the crisis
For emerging market fixed income investors, an issuing country's high inflation can lead to higher yields, compared to developed markets.
This bulletin, written by Dr. David Kelly, addresses the Federal Open Market Committee meeting announcement on September 17.