We emerged with a cautious near-term view from our latest quarterly strategy meeting in early September. In our base case scenario, the global economy is expected to narrowly avoid recession and continue to grow, albeit much more slowly.
Refined and expanded over 23 years, our in-depth, proprietary process provides 10- to 15-year risk and return projections for more than 50 strategy and asset classes.
We are upgrading our view on equities to reflect early signs of an upturn in macroeconomic data, falling recession risk and an increase in the chance of at least a limited U.S.-China trade deal.
Long-term asset class volatilities and correlations tend to exhibit stability when measured over multiple cycles. Learn more about J.P. Morgan's methodology.
The opportunity cost of holding bonds is rising. Consider these additional safe haven assets to help protect your portfolio in times of market stress.
This weekly update provides a snapshot of changes in the economy and markets and their implications for investors.
Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions currency matrix for the Danish krone
Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions currency matrix for the Chinese renminbi
Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions Executive Summary
Armageddonists and the portfolio cost of fear, 2010-2019