Predicting recessions is not easy and we do not claim to have uncovered a perfect crystal ball. What we have developed is a framework for tracking the risks, and potential magnitude, of a downturn in the US economy.
US Economy Health Check chart book
Incorporating Environmental, Social & Governance
UK wages grew at the fastest pace since 2008 in July, with the three-month average growth rate for wages including bonuses reaching 4% year on year.
The ECB’s forceful stimulus package surprised investors with an open-ended approach to a relaunched QE—asset purchases of €20 billion per month will continue until inflation starts to rise.
This weekly update provides a snapshot of changes in the economy and markets and their implications for investors.
Investment grade and high yield credit in emerging markets have delivered divergent performance over the summer. Could this trend reverse, or is investor caution warranted in the high yield space?
A brief comment on a proposal from leading Presidential candidates to ban hydraulic fracturing everywhere, immediately.
Mario Draghi reacted to the increased economic risks to the economic outlook with a bold package of monetary easing measures.
Themes and implications from the most recent Global Fixed Income, Currency & Commodities Investment Quarterly