Factor investing through the cycle
2014 has brought a turning point in that economic growth and market returns have stabilized, while the world economy has returned to normal. In this paper, discover how JPMC's long-term assumptions (from the last decade) have stood the test of time.
Executive summary of JPM's long-term capital market return assumptions for 2013
Full report detailing JPM's long-term capital market return assumptions for 2013
What to expect in the next 15 years.
Full 62-page report with analysis of all asset classes.
Executive Summary. Prolonged period of delevraging could mean low interest rates; subdued growth.
This full report is a comprehensive and detailed analysis of our 10-to 15 year asset class forecasts. US version.
Emerging Market Equity Views : Favorable global cycle and USD outlooks create a positive environment
While tariffs remain a concern, the key issue is the degree—which we deem moderate—of U.S. recession risk. The current global backdrop makes the U.S. dollar unlikely to strengthen. Earnings growth expectations are modest, valuations are undemanding
We emerged with a cautious near-term view from our latest quarterly strategy meeting in early September. In our base case scenario, the global economy is expected to narrowly avoid recession and continue to grow, albeit much more slowly.