Executive Summary. Prolonged period of delevraging could mean low interest rates; subdued growth.
This full report is a comprehensive and detailed analysis of our 10-to 15 year asset class forecasts. US version.
Vincent Juvyns and Alex Dryden discuss economic growth in the eurozone and the potential impacts of the slowdown in China and other emerging markets.
Reaching for yield, which we define as buying bonds with wider spreads after controlling for sector and rating impacts, is a topic that frequently arises in the life insurance industry.
Includes discussion of Europe, the US, Japan, emerging markets, and infrastructure
Market recap for the week, with consymer confidence & equities chart, economic data calendar, & market statistics
We raised the probability of Recession to 55% after virus-induced shocks, oil prices’ collapse and violent market volatility. We are de-risking, adding very high quality duration, while expecting credit markets to cheapen and reserve currencies to do well
Analysis of Italy's highly volatile political environment, and the possible implications for the markets
Infrastructure roundtable: In-depth discussion in European Pensions magazine, involving executives from seven investment firms and consultancies.
What will higher interest rates mean for real estate? In the short term, the impact on real estate capitalization rates is likely to be minimal. It’s important to separate the impact of higher interest rates into short- and long-term effects.