Investment grade and high yield credit in emerging markets have delivered divergent performance over the summer. Could this trend reverse, or is investor caution warranted in the high yield space?
A relatively benign G20 summit and expectations for easier financial conditions ahead have boosted demand for emerging market debt. However, areas of value can still be found.
Dovish central banks, strong fundamentals and an improved outlook for China suggest that all stars are aligned for emerging markets. How long can the year-to-date rally continue?
Chart of JPM's long-term capital market return assumptions. Deleveraging will depress growth while risk assets should offer decent returns
Executive summary of JPM's long-term capital market return assumptions for 2013
Full report detailing JPM's long-term capital market return assumptions for 2013
Core bond yields have pushed higher since the end of October. Is the move warranted by a shift in the fundamental picture, and where could we go from here?
Emerging market debt is underpinned by a solid fundamental backdrop, but the local index is at all-time tights. A differentiated approach seems warranted.
As an increasing number of high yield corporates run into trouble we question whether the rise in corporate distress is a signal for more caution, or if lower rated credits now look more attractive at improved valuations.
Valuations for high quality credit may seem slightly stretched in the context of outperformance so far this year, but with various catalysts ahead, we believe the asset class will remain in favour.