Markets, economy, stocks, growth, global, fixed income, international, asset classes
Eye on the Market: The Verdict
Michael Cembalest analyzes the performance of over 6,700 domestic and international active equity managers, and discusses the challenges they face outperforming at a time of markets distorted by quantitative easing.
Michael reviews current market dynamics, walks through four investment strategies that have performed well over multiple cycles as this one enters its latter stages, and shares his thoughts on the Helsinki summit.
Despite attractive valuations, emerging market equities have underperformed. Things are improving, but a headwind looms: monetary policy
For emerging market fixed income investors, an issuing country's high inflation can lead to higher yields, compared to developed markets.
The food fight between the President and the Fed Chair could result in too much easing, and the expansion of valuations beyond sustainable levels. The other food fight: leveraged loan issuers vs buyers. Issuers are winning this fight hands down due.
Michael discusses how short covering, rather than real money, has driven the fastest recovery on record following a bear market, and looks ahead at slowing earnings growth.
Chart of JPM's long-term capital market return assumptions. Deleveraging will depress growth while risk assets should offer decent returns