Michael looks at the midterms: GOP gains in the Senate, an historic loss in the House given economic and market conditions, and what it means for investors.
In this year���s Holiday Eye on the Market, Michael records a note to his spouse on her father, the 2020 US Presidential election, and what might be the widest ideological divide in 100 years.
The food fight between the President and the Fed Chair could result in too much easing, and the expansion of valuations beyond sustainable levels. The other food fight: leveraged loan issuers vs buyers. Issuers are winning this fight hands down due.
Michael takes a close look at the question of rising committed and unspent capital in private equity, and implications for investors.
Michael discusses how short covering, rather than real money, has driven the fastest recovery on record following a bear market, and looks ahead at slowing earnings growth.
A brief note on the latest price action in equity markets, how business cycles end, and how markets are being left to fend for themselves without central bank intervention for the first time in 20 years.
A brief comment on a proposal from leading Presidential candidates to ban hydraulic fracturing everywhere, immediately.
An update from the front lines of the Trade War, with a focus on implications for investors.
Michael discusses how he should have taken Trump at his word on tariffs, and the impact of the widening trade war on global growth and equity markets as proposed tariffs approach pre-war levels.
Mountains and molehills: Achievements and distractions on the road to decarbonization, and what comes next
Michael discusses this year���s Eye on the Market Energy paper.�� Topics include the unattainable objectives of the Green New Deal, an overview of the world���s de-carbonization challenges, Germany���s energy transition and Trump���s War on Science.