A summary of the factors driving global markets over the last month.
Updated each quarter, the Guide to the Markets illustrates a comprehensive array of market and economic trends and statistics.
While no deal is not the most likely scenario in our view, the risks are rising. The UK outlook is binary. A Brexit deal could see sterling bounce to 1.40 against the dollar, but no deal on 31 October could see a further slump to 1.10.
Small businesses in the US are becoming more cautious about the economic outlook – the National Federation of Independent Business’ (NFIB) Small Business Optimism Index fell 1.3 points to 101.8 in September.
This weekly update provides a snapshot of changes in the economy and markets and their implications for investors.
Predicting recessions is not easy and we do not claim to have uncovered a perfect crystal ball. What we have developed is a framework for tracking the risks, and potential magnitude, of a downturn in the US economy.
US Economy Health Check chart book
China's GDP is on the cusp of middle income status. Discover the implications for financial markets, and whether it’s a good time to invest in China.
The Bank of Japan has reacted to a persistently flat yield curve As demand for duration sendsby adjusting its Rinban operations and by signalling that a potential rate cut is around the corner. But will these attempts to steepen the curve be sustainable?
Implications for insurance capital requirements