Bill Eigen, CIO of Absolute Return and Opportunistic Fixed Income Investing, explains today’s fixed income markets.
Markets, economy, stocks, growth, global, fixed income, international, asset classes
Learn about the important topics covered in the Outlook and their potential impact on broader markets. Michael Cembalest touches on topics including: the global banking system, oil markets, the credit risk of US states and credit market liquidity.
Michael Cembalest discusses the aches and pains constraining growth around the world, the severity of these ailments, and the degree of contagion from emerging to developed economies.
Scott McKee, Emerging Markets Corporate Bond portfolio manager, explores the opportunity set in corporate EMD
Learn more about J.P. Morgan’s views on fixed income, the economy and markets.
What investors should consider
We cut the chances of recession to 25% after a thaw in the trade war and a year of rate cuts; our forecast is for sub trend growth. Favored sectors include emerging market local currency debt and higher rated short-duration securitized credit.
Bond yields remain at or near historic lows around the world, leading to a substantial increase in the value of pension plan liabilities.
In this paper, we assess the potential risks associated with such a strategy by stressing capital requirements using spread-implied ratings.