2019 Market Bulletins

Taking stock of inventories

This paper, written by David Lebovitz and Meera Pandit, discusses the contribution of change in private inventories to GDP and its investment implications.

New Bank of England Governor to be greeted by a change in the fiscal wind

This paper, written by Ambrose Crofton, addresses the latest Bank of England's interest rates announcement and its investment implications.

Wrapping up the mid-cycle adjustment

This paper, written by David Kelly, addresses the FOMC's October meeting announcement.

Brexit in the week ahead - crunch time

This paper, written by Karen Ward, provides an update on latest situation and timeline of Brexit negotiations.

3Q19 Earnings bulletin: Skating on thin ice

This paper, written by David M. Lebovitz and Tyler J. Voigt, reviews 3Q19 U.S. earnings with performance of various sectors and its investment implications.

Not the same as last time

This paper examines the impact of past and upcoming hikes in the consumption tax on Japan's economy.

Super Mario goes out with a bang

This paper, written by Michael Bell, examines the European Central Bank meeting outcome and its investment implications.

Entering uncharted waters: Understanding negative bond yields

This paper, written by Alex Dryden, addresses five of the most pressing questions on negative-yielding bonds and discusses their investment implications.

Yield Curve Inversion

The yield curve, specifically its potential inversion, has become a trusted signal of impending economic turmoil due to the close historical relationship between inversions and recessions.

Does the yield curve inversion signal trouble ahead?

This paper, written by John Manley, examines recent yield curve inversion and its investment implications.

China’s economy and policies: A mid-year review

This paper, written by Chaoping Zhu, provides a mid-year review on the Chinese economy and policies.

Should U.S. Investors Worry About Turkey?

Turkish assets have been under severe pressure, with the Turkish lira depreciating by 42% against the U.S. dollar this year, down 22% this week alone.

U.S.–China Trade: Latest 10% Tariff

This paper addresses the outcome of recent U.S.-China trade talk and its investment implications.

Fed rate cut: What does it mean for investors?

This paper, written by Alex Dryden and Jordan Jackson, addresses the latest U.S. Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision and its investment implications.

2Q19 Earnings bulletin: Threading the needle

This paper, written by David M. Lebovitz and Tyler J. Voigt, reviews 2Q19 U.S. earnings with performance of various sectors and its investment implications.

Yield curve inversion: Understanding the fire alarm

This paper, written by Alex Dryden, examines the current yield curve and its investment implication.

Keeping a LID on portfolio volatility for Asian investors

This paper, written by Tai Hui and Marcus Yiu, evaluates the historical returns of Asian equities and the benefits of diversification across asset classes and geographies.

Domestic demand: Silver lining amid the cloudy Asian trade outlook

This paper, written by Marcella Chow and Marcus Yiu, evaluates the current trade outlook and analyzes our newly constructed 'domestic' vs. 'export-oriented' indices with investment implication.

Lots of talk about tariffs

This paper, written by Gabriela Santos, David Lebovitz and Alex Dryden, evaluates the current trade uncertainty with outlook on the U.S. Federal Reserve’s direction and its investment implication.

Why invest in alternative assets

For long term investors able to forego some liquidity, a strategic allocation to alternative assets could help to improve the overall risk/return profile of their portfolio

European Parliament elections: The populist risk remains contained

This paper, written by Vincent Juvyns, highlights the result of European Parliament elections and its investment implications.

Modi returns in another landslide win

Modi returns in another landslide win, written by Ian Hui, summarizes the result of Indian election and its investment implications.

Brexit: New UK prime minister, same challenges

This paper, written by Karen Ward, addresses the current resignation of UK prime minister Theresa May and its investment implication.

The Demographic Challenge to Above 2% Growth

This paper, written by Dr. David Kelly and Meera Pandit, analyzes the current U.S. economic growth with its factors and investment implications.

Strongly neutral

This paper, written by Dr. David Kelly, addresses the FOMC’s December meeting announcement.

Changing of Lagarde, but toolkit challenges remain

This paper, written by Jai Malhi, examines the European Central Bank meeting outcome and its investment implications.

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