Michael discusses US-China trade war in context, the outlook for prescription drug price legislation, and an updated ideological scorecard for 2020 Presidential candidates.
It was another rollercoaster ride for equity markets but this time ending on a high note, with the S&P 500 Index delivering a thrilling 13.6% return in the first quarter, the best start to a year since 1998.
Michael discusses this year’s Eye on the Market Energy paper. Topics include the unattainable objectives of the Green New Deal, an overview of the world’s de-carbonization challenges, Germany’s energy transition and Trump’s War on Science.
The Fed halted tightening and propelled equities to their fastest recovery ever following a bear market. This decision was made despite the lowest unemployment rate in 40 years. Does that make sense? Also, a possible deal with China.
Michael discusses how short covering, rather than real money, has driven the fastest recovery on record following a bear market, and looks ahead at slowing earnings growth.
From a business standpoint, 2018 was a good year for our team, with solid investment performance and flows which surpassed our expectations.
Our 2019 Global Alternatives Outlook (PDF) has ideas to help you navigate this shifting investment landscape in the upcoming 12- to 18-months.
For the first time in 20 years, markets will have to survive without support from central banks.
In this year’s Holiday Eye on the Market, Michael records a note to his spouse on her father, the 2020 US Presidential election, and what might be the widest ideological divide in 100 years.
Eye on the Market: The Verdict