As we hold our latest Investment Quarterly meeting, we take a look at how 2019 has played out so far. Dovish central bank policy has propelled markets to strong returns, but trade remains a key risk.
With Mexico the latest target of Washington’s tariff tactics, trade tensions are clearly escalating, not subsiding. Could this be the final straw to push the Federal Reserve to cut rates?
The rise in support for populist parties in the European elections has done nothing for the popularity of European risk assets. Should investors ditch Europe, or does this represent a buying opportunity?
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has led the way with its recent interest rate cut. As we head towards the end of the cycle, other developed market central banks could be expected to follow.
Trade rhetoric is dominating news flow, weighing on risk assets. What could be the implications for US growth and inflation, and how is the outlook reflected in valuations?
Despite the recent resurgence of growth worries, we maintain the view we expressed in February that Chinese growth will accelerate this year. This should be supportive for fixed income risk assets, especially if higher growth feeds through to other region
Central banks across the globe recalibrated their policy stance in the first week of May, making it clear that inflation is not the sole driver of their decisions. What does this suggest for the future direction of monetary policy?
Credit markets have enjoyed a strong march upwards, supported by robust technicals and a broadly positive fundamental backdrop. With issuance set to pick up, could now be the time to take some chips off the table?
An improved macroeconomic backdrop continues to support hard currency emerging market (EM) debt, which has outperformed local currency EM debt this year. However, is there now room for EM currencies to take off?
Weakness in the global economy has been almost entirely driven by the manufacturing sector. With recent data showing tentative signs of a recovery, what could be the implications for bond markets?