Markets, economy, stocks, growth, global, fixed income, international, asset classes
2014 has brought a turning point in that economic growth and market returns have stabilized, while the world economy has returned to normal. In this paper, discover how JPMC's long-term assumptions (from the last decade) have stood the test of time.
While tariffs remain a concern, the key issue is the degree—which we deem moderate—of U.S. recession risk. The current global backdrop makes the U.S. dollar unlikely to strengthen. Earnings growth expectations are modest, valuations are undemanding
How hedging against rising rates with credit—rather than sovereign bonds—can offer a better trade-off between liability-relative risk and return.
A condensed version of the full report with a synopsis of our macro and asset class assumptions. US version.
This full report is a comprehensive and detailed analysis of our 10-to 15 year asset class forecasts. US version.
Chart of JPM's long-term capital market return assumptions. Deleveraging will depress growth while risk assets should offer decent returns
Executive summary of JPM's long-term capital market return assumptions for 2013
Full report detailing JPM's long-term capital market return assumptions for 2013