We emerged with a cautious near-term view from our latest quarterly strategy meeting in early September. In our base case scenario, the global economy is expected to narrowly avoid recession and continue to grow, albeit much more slowly.
Markets, economy, stocks, growth, global, fixed income, international, asset classes
In the wake of the Global Financial Crisis, all eyes are on dynamic, responsive funding strategies that can deliver long-term goals in a risk-aware way.
The potential for unilateral US currency intervention arose as a topic of research interest last year, and discussion has intensified over recent weeks.
We expect the US dollar to underperform ahead of the first Federal Reserve (the Fed) interest rate cut of this cycle.
With volatility in FX markets close to all-time lows, we explore the rising risks that could see larger moves in currencies going forwards.
While tariffs remain a concern, the key issue is the degree—which we deem moderate—of U.S. recession risk. The current global backdrop makes the U.S. dollar unlikely to strengthen. Earnings growth expectations are modest, valuations are undemanding
We explain why such an approach may not be warranted this year for investors in emerging market currencies.
EURUSD should be rangebound