Michael discusses his forecast for 2020, which entails a modest recovery in global growth and profits after trade-war weakness in 2019.
In this special holiday edition, Michael explains how an evening at home went awry: how a discussion about China and Hong Kong morphed into a chart war about Trump, Hoover, Taft, Rachel Maddow and Anderson Cooper.
Armageddonists and the portfolio cost of fear, 2010-2019
A close look at the Progressive Agenda, China’s deteriorating welcome mat in DC and US Tech IPOs.
Michael Cembalest analyzes the performance of over 6,700 domestic and international active equity managers, and discusses the challenges they face outperforming at a time of markets distorted by quantitative easing.
A brief comment on a proposal from leading Presidential candidates to ban hydraulic fracturing everywhere, immediately.
An update from the front lines of the Trade War, with a focus on implications for investors
The food fight between the President and the Fed Chair could result in too much easing, and the expansion of valuations beyond sustainable levels. The other food fight: leveraged loan issuers vs buyers. Issuers are winning this fight hands down due.
Michael went on a search for Democratic Socialism in the real world, and ended up halfway around the globe from where he began.
Michael shares his thoughts on the US China trade war, Mexico tariffs and the US immigration policy.