This research examines the evolution of baby boomer balance sheets and attempts to assess and quantify its implications for markets and investors.
While tariffs remain a concern, the key issue is the degree—which we deem moderate—of U.S. recession risk. The current global backdrop makes the U.S. dollar unlikely to strengthen. Earnings growth expectations are modest, valuations are undemanding
2014 has brought a turning point in that economic growth and market returns have stabilized, while the world economy has returned to normal. In this paper, discover how JPMC's long-term assumptions (from the last decade) have stood the test of time.
A condensed version of the full report with a synopsis of our macro and asset class assumptions. US version.
This full report is a comprehensive and detailed analysis of our 10-to 15 year asset class forecasts. US version.
Full report detailing JPM's long-term capital market return assumptions
Executive summary of JPM's long-term capital market return assumptions
Chart of JPM's long-term capital market return assumptions. Deleveraging will depress growth while risk assets should offer decent returns