Markets, economy, stocks, growth, global, fixed income, international, asset classes
While tariffs remain a concern, the key issue is the degree—which we deem moderate—of U.S. recession risk. The current global backdrop makes the U.S. dollar unlikely to strengthen. Earnings growth expectations are modest, valuations are undemanding
In the wake of the Global Financial Crisis, all eyes are on dynamic, responsive funding strategies that can deliver long-term goals in a risk-aware way.
We cut the chances of recession to 25% after a thaw in the trade war and a year of rate cuts; our forecast is for sub trend growth. Favored sectors include emerging market local currency debt and higher rated short-duration securitized credit.