Markets, economy, stocks, growth, global, fixed income, international, asset classes
We cut the chances of recession to 25% after a thaw in the trade war and a year of rate cuts; our forecast is for sub trend growth. Favored sectors include emerging market local currency debt and higher rated short-duration securitized credit.
In this paper, we assess the potential risks associated with such a strategy by stressing capital requirements using spread-implied ratings.
Reaching for yield, which we define as buying bonds with wider spreads after controlling for sector and rating impacts, is a topic that frequently arises in the life insurance industry.
What investors should consider
Learn more about J.P. Morgan’s views on fixed income, the economy and markets.