Our 2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions (LTCMAs) present our forecasts for economic growth, inflation and asset returns over the next 10 to 15 years.
As corporate profit growth has slowed, we have a more balanced outlook on equity markets. Valuations are mostly well within historical norms and we’re seeing opportunities among higher growth companies with sustainable profits and cash generation.
We emerged with a cautious near-term view from our latest quarterly strategy meeting in early September. In our base case scenario, the global economy is expected to narrowly avoid recession and continue to grow, albeit much more slowly.
Themes from the quarterly Quantitative Beta Research Summit
This paper examines the U.S. commercial mortgage loan (CML) market and U.S. insurers’ investments in CMLs.
Implications for insurance capital requirements
Updated each quarter, the Guide to the Markets illustrates a comprehensive array of market and economic trends and statistics.
The S&P 500 could hit 10,000 by the mid-2030s
Reaching for yield, which we define as buying bonds with wider spreads after controlling for sector and rating impacts, is a topic that frequently arises in the life insurance industry.
Our Global Emerging Markets portfolio managers demonstrate why long-term investors are in a strong position to take advantage of compound earnings growth.