The Fed halted tightening and propelled equities to their fastest recovery ever following a bear market. This decision was made despite the lowest unemployment rate in 40 years. Does that make sense? Also, a possible deal with China.
Predicting recessions is not easy and we do not claim to have uncovered a perfect crystal ball. What we have developed is a framework for tracking the risks, and potential magnitude, of a downturn in the US economy.
Mountains and molehills: Achievements and distractions on the road to decarbonization, and what comes next
Michael discusses this year���s Eye on the Market Energy paper.�� Topics include the unattainable objectives of the Green New Deal, an overview of the world���s de-carbonization challenges, Germany���s energy transition and Trump���s War on Science.
Michael discusses this year���s Eye on the Market Energy paper. Topics include the unattainable objectives of the Green New Deal, an overview of the world���s de-carbonization challenges, Germany���s energy transition and Trump���s War on Science.
For the first time in 20 years, markets will have to survive without support from central banks.
The theory of negative interest rates is straightforward, but the practice is not. What do negative rates mean for savers?
Michael discusses how he should have taken Trump at his word on tariffs, and the impact of the widening trade war on global growth and equity markets as proposed tariffs approach pre-war levels.
Michael discusses US-China trade war in context, the outlook for prescription drug price legislation, and an updated ideological scorecard for 2020 Presidential candidates.
In this month���s podcast, Michael looks at the midterms: GOP gains in the Senate, an historic loss in the House given economic and market conditions, and what it means for investors.
Markets are increasingly nervous about the impact of the trade war on US corporate earnings and business investment.