As we compiled the 2018 edition of our Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions, the world economy has enjoying its best period of synchronized growth in more than a decade.
The Guide to the Markets is a pioneer as the industry's leading resource for timely information on the market and economy
In lower cost, liquid vehicles, alternative risk premia strategies can strengthen a risk-return profile.
With global recessionary risks rising, we provide a framework to help UK pensions prepare for near-term risks that could challenge the fulfillment of their sponsor covenants.
Using our 2019 Long-Term Capital Markets Assumptions and our estimate of the average current pension profile, we projected forward the buyout position of the average UK pension scheme.
In this paper, we assess the potential risks associated with such a strategy by stressing capital requirements using spread-implied ratings.
Our view over the past few quarters has been that EURUSD should be rangebound, as the cyclical outperformance of the US economy is offset by the eurozone’s relatively better balance of payments position.
We emerged with a cautious near-term view from our latest quarterly strategy meeting in early September. In our base case scenario, the global economy is expected to narrowly avoid recession and continue to grow, albeit much more slowly.