US Economy Health Check chart book
Predicting recessions is not easy and we do not claim to have uncovered a perfect crystal ball. What we have developed is a framework for tracking the risks, and potential magnitude, of a downturn in the US economy.
This weekly update provides a snapshot of changes in the economy and markets and their implications for investors.
Reaching for yield, which we define as buying bonds with wider spreads after controlling for sector and rating impacts, is a topic that frequently arises in the life insurance industry.
Updated each quarter, the Guide to the Markets illustrates a comprehensive array of market and economic trends and statistics.
Themes and implications from the most recent Global Fixed Income, Currency & Commodities Investment Quarterly
Given our view that the global economy is just as likely to contract as expand over the next three-to-six months, is it now time to position fixed income portfolios more defensively?
A new trade announcement from the Trump administration has comprehensively overshadowed the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut since the financial crisis. What impact will the most recent round of tariffs have on the economy and on markets?
The trade dispute between the US and China shows few signs of resolution. Why are global tariffs rising, which economies are most vulnerable and how can investors position themselves for this more challenging environment?”
China's GDP is on the cusp of middle income status. Discover the implications for financial markets, and whether it’s a good time to invest in China.