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    1. How can Millennials ride out the current market storm?

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    How can Millennials ride out the current market storm?

    2022-11-09

    Jack Manley

    Diversify portfolios away from heavily concentrated positions in risky assets.

    Jack Manley

    Global Market Strategist

    Listen to On the Minds of Investors

    2022-11-09

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    Hello. My name is Jack Manley, and I'm a Global Market Strategist at JP Morgan Asset Management. Welcome to On the Minds of Investors, where today's subject is how can millennials ride out the current market storm. 2022 has been a year of remarkable volatility across asset classes.

    Stocks, bonds, and cryptocurrencies have been rocked by a confluence of challenges that could be described as a perfect storm. This volatility stems from a number of factors-- COVID-19 and its impact on growth in Asia, the war in Ukraine and its impact on global commodity prices, severe economic slowdown thanks in part to a massive fiscal drag, midterm elections, which lead to uncertainty surrounding future policy, multidecade high inflation, and, of course, steadily rising interest rates as global central banks shift policy from accommodative to restrictive. Asset price volatility impacts all investors regardless of age or income levels.

    Still, younger investors, namely millennials and Gen Zers, may struggle more than most. Some of this can be attributed to their relative inexperience in markets as many had not invested through a bear market. Some can be attributed to the lack of guardrails in modern investing, with online brokerage platforms allowing for low or no-cost access to markets without corresponding advice. And some can be attributed to the composition of younger investors' portfolios, which heavily favor single securities like stocks and cryptocurrencies and options.

    Given these circumstances, many younger investors may be wondering how to make sense of current conditions. Broadly speaking, there are three simple steps to better weather volatility. The first is to diversify portfolios away from heavily concentrated positions in risky assets. The benefits of the democratization of investing in recent years are myriad, and it would be imprudent to recommend that young investors liquidate volatile but long-term assets like cryptocurrency.

    However, it is worth building a well-diversified portfolio around these riskier holdings to mitigate volatility while still embracing risk, which is necessary for young investors given their long-term time horizon, relatively low liquidity needs, and poor short-term market prospects. The second is to dollar cost average into markets to avoid market timing pitfalls. Ideally, most young investors are already dollar cost averaging through regular contributions to their 401(k)s.

    Moreover, these 401(k)s can be enhanced by increasing contribution amounts or shifting, if appropriate, into a post-tax Roth vehicle. If an investor has reached their contribution limit, investments into nonqualified accounts can be made in the same manner. And finally, recognize that heightened volatility is structural in modern markets.

    Markets and information, more broadly, move faster today than ever. Given the rise of algorithmic trading, high frequency trading, and a more empowered retail investor, this trend will likely accelerate. For this reason, young investors should recognize that future markets will continue to be volatile and become comfortable with this volatility.

    All told, younger investors may find today's volatile market environment uniquely challenging. However, it is possible to manage through these challenges and emerge on the other side with better financial health. 

    2022 has been a year of remarkable volatility across asset classes. Stocks, bonds and cryptocurrencies have been rocked by a confluence of challenges that could be described as a “perfect storm.” This volatility stems from a number of factors: COVID-19 and its impact on growth in Asia; the war in Ukraine and its impact on global commodity prices; severe economic slowdown thanks in part to a massive fiscal drag; midterm elections, which lead to uncertainty surrounding future policy; multi-decade high inflation; and steadily rising interest rates as global central banks shift policy from accommodative to restrictive. 

    Asset price volatility impacts all investors regardless of age or income levels. Still, younger investors - namely Millennials and Gen Zers - may struggle more than most. Some of this can be attributed to their relative inexperience in markets, as many had not invested through a bear market; some can be attributed to the lack of guardrails in modern investing, with online brokerage platforms allowing for low- or no-cost access to markets without corresponding advice; and some can be attributed to the composition of younger investors’ portfolios, which heavily favor single securities (like stocks and cryptocurrencies) and options. 

    Given these circumstances, many younger investors may be wondering how to make sense of current conditions. Broadly speaking, there are three simple steps to better weather volatility:

    • Diversify portfolios away from heavily concentrated positions in risky assets. The benefits of the “democratization” of investing in recent years are myriad and it would be imprudent to recommend that young investors liquidate volatile but long-term assets like cryptocurrency. However, it is worth building a well-diversified portfolio around these riskier holdings to mitigate volatility while still embracing risk, which is necessary for young investors given their long-term time horizon, relatively low liquidity needs and poor short-term market prospects.
    • Dollar-cost average into markets to avoid market timing pitfalls. Ideally, most young investors are already dollar-cost averaging through regular contributions to 401(k)s. Moreover, these 401(k)s can be “enhanced” by increasing contribution amounts or shifting, if appropriate, into a post-tax “Roth” vehicle. If an investor has reached their contribution limit, investments into non-qualified accounts can be made in the same manner.
    • Recognize that heightened volatility is structural in modern markets. Markets, and information more broadly, move faster today than ever. Given the rise of algorithmic trading, high-frequency trading and a more empowered retail investor, this trend will likely accelerate. For this reason, young investors should recognize that future markets will continue to be volatile and become comfortable with this volatility.

    All told, younger investors may find today’s volatile market environment uniquely challenging. However, it is possible to manage through these challenges and emerge on the other side with better financial health.

    Asset ownership by age group

    Investments by asset type, for investors

    A chart showing asset ownership by age group.

    Source: Motley Fool, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. 
    Data are as of September 30, 2022.

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