The COVID-19 outbreak has pushed the global economy into recession and equities likely have further to fall. We are overweight cash and duration and modestly underweight equity and credit. We expect to stay nimble in our relative value positions.
Brexit uncertainty is not over. But that wasn’t the only thing holding back UK stocks, and investors could be tempted back to the market.
Markets, economy, stocks, growth, global, fixed income, international, asset classes
Emerging Market Equity Views : Favorable global cycle and USD outlooks create a positive environment
While tariffs remain a concern, the key issue is the degree—which we deem moderate—of U.S. recession risk. The current global backdrop makes the U.S. dollar unlikely to strengthen. Earnings growth expectations are modest, valuations are undemanding
Trade policy is of first-order importance in a more connected world, and markets have been reacting nervously to U.S. trade disputes.